Bird Flu Worst Case Scenario: 142 Million DeadA CNN article has several scenarios thought up an Australian think tank that could occur should the H5N1 virus mutate and cause an outbreak in humans. The worst case scenario would be 142 million deaths worldwide and an economic cost of $4.4 trillion.
The Lowy Institute also provided four different scenarios:
The two Spanish flu scenarios would also have to take into account the possibility of government's failing in some countries that are overwhelmed by the sick and the dead. These are very extreme scenarios that hopefully have a very very low chance of actually materializing.
Posted on February 22, 2006