NOAA Predicts 70% Likelihood of 13 to 20 Named Storms for 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Posted on May 23, 2013
NOAA is predicting a 70% chance of 13 to 20 named storms for the 2013 hurricane season. NOAA also forecasts 7 to 11 of the storms to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph+), and 3 to 6 to become major hurricanes, (Cat 3+ with winds of 111 mph or greater). The forecast is above the season average of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes. An image of Hurricane Sandy is pictured above.
NOAA says these three climate factors will come together to produce an active to extremely active season this year:
- A continuation of the atmospheric climate pattern, which includes a strong west African monsoon, that is responsible for the ongoing era of high activity for Atlantic hurricanes that began in 1995
- Warmer-than-average water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea
- El Nino is not expected to develop and suppress hurricane formation.